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    • Home
    • Mission
    • Labor - Executive Summary
    • Student - Executive Summa
    • Industry Framework Paper
    • Legislative Outline
    • Student - Legislation Out
    • Industry Template Letter
    • Levy Consumer Protections
    • Write Your State Rep
    • Steps to Introduce a Tax
    • Steps Introduce Industry
    • I Ran The Numbers
    • Global Disincentives
    • Labor & Student Timelines
    • Quarterly - DOL LCA Stats
    • Foreign National Vetting
    • Sociological Impact - FL
    • Academia Social Impact
    • OutSourcing Chronology
    • UPDATE - Bill H.R. 6542
    • H-1B Visas
    • Other Visas
    • Green Cards
    • Artifical Intelligence
    • Contact Us

  • Home
  • Mission
  • Labor - Executive Summary
  • Student - Executive Summa
  • Industry Framework Paper
  • Legislative Outline
  • Student - Legislation Out
  • Industry Template Letter
  • Levy Consumer Protections
  • Write Your State Rep
  • Steps to Introduce a Tax
  • Steps Introduce Industry
  • I Ran The Numbers
  • Global Disincentives
  • Labor & Student Timelines
  • Quarterly - DOL LCA Stats
  • Foreign National Vetting
  • Sociological Impact - FL
  • Academia Social Impact
  • OutSourcing Chronology
  • UPDATE - Bill H.R. 6542
  • H-1B Visas
  • Other Visas
  • Green Cards
  • Artifical Intelligence
  • Contact Us

I Ran the Numbers - All Industry Sectors

U.S. Foreign Labor Levy Legislative Proposal


The U.S. Foreign Labor Levy proposal establishes a 4-Pillar, 4-Tier Salary Framework targeting ~32.3 million documented non-citizen workers and students across all U.S. industries. 


Its primary goal is to rebalance corporate incentives toward hiring U.S. citizens by removing the profit advantage of relying on foreign labor. The framework applies tiered levies that:

  • Eliminate wage-based cost advantages for hiring non-citizen workers and students,
  • Generate significant tax revenue to reinvest in U.S. workforce development, and
  • Ensure fairness in low-wage sectors such as agriculture and hospitality. 


The Work Visa & Employment Levy, Foreign Worker Payroll Levy, and Employee Remittance Levy operate within a 4-Tier Salary Structure (< $35K, $35K–$60K, $60K–$100K, > $100K). Rates for workers under $35K remain constant to protect industries where U.S. citizens are less likely to participate.

 

Additionally, the Offshoring Levy addresses remote foreign hiring. Undocumented workers (~5.7M, Pew 2024) are excluded due to untrackability. This assessment models the framework’s application across visas, green cards, humanitarian pathways, offshore employees, and international student enrollment. 


It projects impacts on ~32 million documented workers and students between 2025 and 2028, estimating both the tax revenues generated and the number of jobs transitioned back to U.S. citizens, assuming only 40% of non-citizen labor and academia slots return to qualified U.S. citizens over the period (via a 50% overall reduction in foreign reliance, with 80% replacement by U.S. workers). 


The results demonstrate the proposal’s potential to fund continuous workforce training and reduce long-term dependence on foreign labor.


Baseline: Current Usage and Costs

Volume: Approximately 32 million documented, working non-citizen workers and students annually, updated with verified data as of November 3, 2025: 


Visas (~1.2M):

  • H-1B: 214,000 (USCIS FY 2024–2025)
  • H-2A (Agricultural): 133,000 (DOL 2024, FY 2023 adjusted for FY 2025)
  • H-2B (Non-Agricultural): 84,000 (USCIS FY 2024–2025, including supplemental cap)
  • TN (NAFTA): 21,000 (USCIS 2024)
  • L-1/J-1: 43,000 (USCIS 2024)OPT (F-1): 107,000 (MPI 2025)
  • Other Visas (O-1, P, etc.): 168,000 (adjusted to balance 1.2M total) 


Green Cards (Legal Permanent Residents, LPRs, ~13M in Workforce):

  • New Employment-Based (EB): 281,000 principals annually (USCIS FY 2024–2025)
  • Active EB Holders: 1.12M from prior years
  • Total LPRs: ~27M (DHS/OHS 2024–2025), ~48.1% labor participation, yielding 13M working LPRs 


Humanitarian with Work Authorization (~3M):

  • DACA: 796,000 (USCIS FY 2025 Q1)
  • TPS: 1.26M (DHS 2024)
  • Asylum Seekers: 936,000 (DHS 2024)
  • Parolees: 281,000 (DHS 2024)
  • Other Humanitarian: Adjusted to 3M total 


Offshore Foreign Employees (~14M): 14,000,000 

Foreign Student Enrollment with Work Options (~1.1M): 1,100,000 (F-1/OPT/CPT, MPI 2025) 

Salary Distribution (BLS, Adjusted for Inflation):

  • < $35K: 30% (9.69M workers, ~$30K average)
  • $35K–$60K: 40% (12.92M workers, ~$52K average)
  • $60K–$100K: 20% (6.46M workers, ~$80K average)
  • $100K: 10% (3.23M workers, ~$120K average)

Overall Average Wage: ~$52K (weighted: agriculture ~$30K, professional ~$88K) 

Profit Edge: Non-citizen workers save firms 

  • ~$11,000 per worker annually (wage gaps, tax breaks), totaling ~$355.3B industry-wide (32.3M × $11,000). 


Impact of the Four Tax Pillars


1. Work Visa and Employment Levy

Structure (Per Worker, Tiered by Salary):

  • < $35K: 3% (Years 1–3, constant). Cost: $900 ($30K × 3%)
  • $35K–$60K: 7% (Year 1), 14% (Year 2), 20% (Year 3). Cost: $3,640–$10,400 ($52K)
  • $60K–$100K: 10% (Year 1), 18% (Year 2), 28% (Year 3). Cost: $8,000–$22,400
  • ($80K)$100K: 15% (Year 1), 25% (Year 2), 45% (Year 3). Cost: $18,000–$54,000 ($120K)
  • H-1B/L-1 Surcharge: 5% (Years 1–2), 10% (Year 3) for below-median wages (~554,000 workers). Cost: $4,000–$12,000 (Year 3)

Affected Workers: All 32.3M documented workers.

Cost Impact: By Year 3, costs exceed savings, reducing usage by 40–60% (12.92M–19.38M fewer workers). 


2. Foreign Worker Payroll Levy

Structure (On Wages, Tiered by Salary):

  • < $35K: 7% (Years 1–3, constant). Cost: $2,100 ($30K × 7%)
  • $35K–$60K: 12% (Year 1), 20% (Year 2), 30% (Year 3). Cost: $6,240–$15,600 ($52K)
  • $60K–$100K: 18% (Year 1), 28% (Year 2), 40% (Year 3). Cost: $14,400–$32,000 ($80K)
  • $100K: 25% (Year 1), 44% (Year 2), 55% (Year 3). Cost: $30,000–$66,000 ($120K)
  • H-1B Surcharge: 10% (Years 1–2), 15% (Year 3) for below-median wages (~554,000 workers). Cost: $8,000–$12,000 (Year 3)

Affected Workers: All 32.3M documented workers.

Cost Impact: Year 3 costs eliminate savings, driving a 50–70% usage drop (16.15M–22.61M fewer workers). 


3. Employee Remittance Levy

Structure (On ~$10,400 Remittances/Worker):

  • < $35K: 7% (Years 1–3, constant). Cost: $728 ($10,400 × 7%)
  • $35K–$60K: 9% (Year 1), 14% (Year 2), 18% (Year 3). Cost: $936–$1,872
  • $60K–$100K: 9% (Year 1), 14% (Year 2), 18% (Year 3). Cost: $936–$1,872
  • $100K: 9% (Year 1), 14% (Year 2), 18% (Year 3). Cost: $936–$1,872

Affected Workers: All 32.3M, worker-paid.

Cost Impact: Year 3’s $728–$1,872 reduces worker supply by 5–8% (1.61M–2.58M fewer workers). 


Annualized Tax Income (2025–2028)

Structure: 15% (Year 1), 30% (Year 2), 40% (Year 3) per worker ($52K average). Cost: $7,800–$20,800.

Affected Workers: Offshore employees (14M).

Cost Impact: Year 3’s $20,800/worker adds $291.2B (14M × $20,800).

  • Shift: Limits offshoring; reinforces U.S. hiring.


Breakdown of the Percentage Factor

  • Year 1 (2025): A 10-20% initial drop (3.23M–6.46M fewer workers) is assumed as companies adjust mid-year, half-year impact ~1.61M.
  • Year 2 (2026): Reduction increases to 12.5-17.5% (4.04M–5.65M fewer workers) as tax rates escalate.
  • Year 3 (2027): Reduction reaches 50-70% (16.15M–22.61M fewer workers) as costs exceed savings.
  • Year 4 (2028): Stabilizes at 50% (16.15M fewer workers), with 50% remaining due to sector needs. 


Combined Effect on “Need” for Foreign Labor

  • Year 1: Total tax ~$10,286–$47,186; usage dips 10-20% (3.23M–6.46M fewer).
  • Year 2: Usage drops to 12.5-17.5% (4.04M–5.65M fewer).
  • Year 3: Total tax ~$11,228–$121,456; usage reduces by 50-70% (16.15M–22.61M fewer).
  • Year 4: Stabilizes at 50% reduction (16.15M fewer).
  • Shift: ~12.92M U.S. workers (80% of 16.15M) fill gaps, leveraging 2.2M STEM/labor pool (BLS data). 


Annualized Tax Income (2025–2028)

Assumptions: Worker count: 32.3M in Year 1, dropping to 16.15M by Year 4 (50% reduction).

Salary distribution: < $35K (30%, $30K), $35K–$60K (40%, $52K), $60K–$100K (20%, $80K), > $100K (10%, $120K).

Yearly Revenue (Illustrative):

  • 2025 (Year 1): Work Visa: $167.61B, Payroll: $296.13B, Remittance: $27.59B, Offshoring: $98.01B, Total: $589.34B
  • 2026 (Year 2): Work Visa: $255.63B, Payroll: $412.70B, Remittance: $34.18B, Offshoring: $196.01B, Total: $898.53B
  • 2027 (Year 3): Work Visa: $348.43B, Payroll: $485.05B, Remittance: $36.21B, Offshoring: $249.54B, Total: $1,119.24B
  • 2028 (Year 4): Work Visa: $232.95B, Payroll: $324.26B, Remittance: $24.18B, Offshoring: $124.77B, Total: $706.15B 


Yearly Totals:

  • Total (4 Years): $589.34B + $898.53B + $1,119.24B + $706.15B = $3,313.3B 
  • Annualized: $3,313.3B ÷ 4 = $828.32B/year 


Taxation Summary:

The 4-Tax Pillar, 4-Tier Salary Structure Framework flips the profit motive. By Year 3, non-citizen workers cost firms $228–$110,456 more than U.S. citizen workers (e.g., < $35K: $4,628; > $100K: $121,456). Slashing reliance from 32.3M to 16.15M. 


Firms hire ~12.92M U.S. workers (80% replacement), with tech shifting fastest due to high rates. Agriculture lags due to constant < $35K rates (3%, 7%, 7%) ensuring fairness for H-2A (133,000) and H-2B (84,000). Revenue averages $828.32B/year, funding continuous U.S. citizen workforce training (e.g., STEM programs for 2.2M graduates annually). 


The framework proves the “need” for foreign labor is primarily economic, countered by fair, tiered levies with no exemptions. 

Returning U.S. Citizen Labor


Baseline: 32.3 million documented, working non-citizen workers and students (recent data from USCIS, DHS/OHS, MPI, DOL, 2024–2025).


Endpoint (Illustrative): 16.15 million (50% reduction, 16.15 million fewer workers) by the end of a sample four-year period (2025–2028).


Yearly Decline: Linear reduction over four years

  • Year 1 (2025): 32.3M (starting point)
  • Year 2 (2026): 28.24M (4.06M fewer, 12.5-17.5% reduction)
  • Year 3 (2027): 22.21M (10.09M fewer, 50-70% reduction range)
  • Year 4 (2028): 16.15M (16.15M fewer, 50% reduction) 


Assumptions for U.S. Worker Return:

  • Replacement Rate: 80% of lost non-citizen jobs are filled by U.S. workers (20% lost to offshoring or efficiency gains), supported by the U.S. labor pool (~2.2M STEM graduates + general workers annually, BLS/NCES data).
  • Corporate Behavior: The 4-Pillar, 4-Tier Framework makes non-citizen workers costlier than U.S. workers (~$52K–$62K average) by Year 3.


Four-Year Estimate:

  • Total Reduction: 16.15 million non-citizen jobs by Year 4.
  • U.S. Worker Replacement: 80% of 16.15M = 12.92 million U.S. workers by Year 4.


Yearly Breakdown (Cumulative):

  • Year 1 (2025): 10% initial drop (3.23M), half-year impact = 1.615M fewer. 80% = 1.29M U.S. workers.
  • Year 2 (2026): 7.29M fewer (32.3M – 25.01M). 80% = 5.83M (cumulative: 5.83M).
  • Year 3 (2027): 10.09M fewer (32.3M – 22.21M). 80% = 8.07M (cumulative: 8.07M).
  • Year 4 (2028): 16.15M fewer (32.3M – 16.15M). 80% = 12.92M (cumulative total). 


Yearly U.S. Workers Returning (Incremental):

  • 2025: 1.29M
  • 2026: 4.54M (5.83M – 1.29M)
  • 2027: 2.24M (8.07M – 5.83M)
  • 2028: 4.85M (12.92M – 8.07M , adjusted for stabilization) 

Total Citizens Returning to Work: 12.92 million over four years (illustrative period).


Conclusion

The United States faces a critical inflection point in managing its labor and immigration policies. This assessment demonstrates that a structured Foreign Labor Levy, applied within a clear NAICS classification framework, can generate significant fiscal returns while rebalancing labor market priorities in favor of U.S. citizens.


By conservatively modeling a 50% attrition rate between 2025 and 2028 (yielding a 40% return of slots to qualified U.S. citizens via 80% replacement), the analysis projects:


  • $3,313.3 billion in cumulative tax revenue through a four-tier levy system,
  • 12.92 million jobs transitioned back to U.S. citizens, and
  • Stabilization of wage suppression across key industries such as technology, healthcare, and agriculture. 


The risks are real: disruptions in critical sectors, potential competitiveness challenges, and resistance from corporate stakeholders. However, the proposed framework provides tools for measured adaptation — ensuring transparency, enabling targeted tax policy, and fostering accountability in foreign labor and international student enrollment practices. 


Ultimately, the integration of NAICS 561399 (Foreign Labor Placement and Management Services) and NAICS 611319 (International Student Enrollment and Compliance Services) offers a pathway to close visibility gaps, establish enforceable taxation mechanisms, and realign incentives toward strengthening the American workforce. 


This proposal is not a rejection of international participation in the U.S. economy, but a call for balance: safeguarding national interests while restoring opportunities for millions of qualified American workers. The 2027 NAICS review cycle provides a historic opportunity to implement this structural correction.


Sources

  • USCIS: H-1B, H-2B, EB data (2024–2025)
  • Migration Policy Institute: Visa, humanitarian, student estimates (2025)
  • BLS: Wage, labor projections (recent, adjusted for inflation)
  • DOL: H-2A data (2024)
  • DHS/OHS: Refugee/asylee, TPS, LPR data (2024–2025)
  • Pew: Undocumented estimates (2024)
  • LeadingAge: Healthcare workforce concerns (recent)
  • OpenSecrets: Lobbying data (recent) 

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